woensdag 22 oktober 2014

on argumentation

By now you should have at least an impression of the type of work I expect you to deliver. Within the freedom of the blog format, I am keen on finding rigorous argumentations, which are explicit so they can be scrutinized. If you think of the blog entry and the academic article as the opposite sides of a continuum, then I expect you work to lean towards the latter.  This includes proper referencing: each time you use information or an idea from another person/source, this should be mentioned. At the same time, the number of words and time available mean that you cannot write a full scientific analysis. If you want to do that, your master thesis next year will be the opportunity to do that!!

Let's look a bit deeper into what an argument really entails. We make an argument whenever we are in the presence of one or more others, and we want to convince them to accept a certain statement. So an argument is part of an interaction between several persons, where one of them seeks to convince the others of something. This means a number of things:

- you have to make your position as explicit and clear as possible;
- you have to present a set of arguments that you think may convince the other person to accept your position;
- you should try to find out what counterarguments could be made by the other, and pre-empt these by trying to make clear why you believe they are not valid, relevant, or important.


Toulmin provides a model of the 6 parts that an argument contains. Let’s run through these with an example.

The CLAIM is the position that you put forward. As an example we will use the following statement: “Social sciences contribute to insight into industrial ecosystems”. In order to provide a compelling argument, we must first state the GROUNDS for this claim: the reasons why we feel this claim is correct. One important reason is that industrial ecosystems are – in part - social systems. The next element in the argument is the WARRANT, which connects the reason to the claim. It specifies why the fact that industrial ecosystems are (in part) social systems leads to the conclusion that social sciences contribute to insight into industrial ecosystems. My specification of this link would be that social sciences provide the up-to-date knowledge on social systems, and such knowledge is indispensable to gain insight into the social system-part of industrial ecosystems. This warrant also builds on reasons, which are the BACKING. In the example, this would be something like ‘insight requires up-to-date scientific knowledge’ (you may accept this as a common sense truth, but others might be less convinced; they might stress that insight can only be developed by actually working within industrial ecosystems for a long period of time).

Being an attempt at convincing others, there may be objections to this claim. As far as you know these, they become part of your argumentation as REBUTTALS (counter arguments to objections to your claim). In our example, one could say that in an analytical sense, the social system only causes a minor part of the dynamics of industrial ecosystems, and can therefore be safely dismissed. In argument, I would include a rebuttal to show that this is not true: I could show with empirical evidence that the same industrial activity, using similar technologies (say oil refining), is organized in radically different ways in different countries, and that these different organizational forms have consequences for the flows and environmental impacts produced. This would effectively silence any opponent that would want to make the objection. This is one way to take objections to your claim into account in your argumentation. Another way is to add a QUALIFIER. This is a statement that narrows down the scope of your claim. It could be that, after summing up certain evidence, you hold the claim to be unproven in certain types of industrial ecosystems.
  

So, providing a full argument means that you are precise in formulating your claim and possible qualifiers, provide not only the grounds for the claim but also how these grounds connect to the claim (warrant), and the backing for that warrant (see the scheme in this link, together with some additional explanation). If you apply this to your blogs you will notice that it takes some time to figure out all these elements, and the way they connect. That’s exactly what is supposed to happen: you are then making the implicit parts of your thinking explicit. If you write that up, then your argumentation is solid. In essence, that means: you provide others with all the information necessary to make a decision whether they are convinced by you. If not, then they will have to provide good reasons for questioning one of these elements.  

Argumentation is important in any scientific discipline. It is especially important in the social sciences, where there is less unity about the concepts and theories that are used. This simply means that the choice for a theory or concept also has to rest on a solid argumentation.

ways of being rational


In my experience of guiding students through this exercise, it turns out to be quite difficult. So let me start out with a (very short) example what I expect, and along the way point out some of the mistakes that can happen. A general point to remember (also for other assignments): using a theory should always enable you to see, understand or explain something that otherwise remains unclear. If the theory does not do that, then either you have chosen the wrong theory, or your application is not yet completely developed. For this assignment, explaining a decision with the rational actor model (RA) and the bounded rationality model (BR) should help you to understand why the organization of your choice may have come to that decision or action.

A first mistake that is quite costly is not properly delineating the decision or action you are analyzing. Some of you have a good topic, but fail to choose a single decision as aunit of analysis. Instead, you analyze a set of decisions, or the decisions of two (or more) organizations interacting. This means you are doing too much work, and it becomes more complicated because you have to disentangle the various decisions involved.

The decision I will use as an example is the decision of the municipality of Wieringermeer, in the North of the Netherlands, to allow only existing owners of wind turbines to place new turbines. Note that I choose one decision of the municipality, not the complex of decisions surrounding it (the decisions of new parties; possible opponents to the decision, etc.)

A second step in the assignment is that you specify the core elements of the theory that you are going to use.. The theories can be found in the lecture sheets, and for BR in the article of Jones as well. Be careful with the BR theory; it has a version for individuals and one for organizations. Also, you can use the principles, or the list of processes (which I also presented during the lecture). Some of you use the individual variant to analyze an organization (or vice versa). While organizations consist of individuals, the core idea of the Jones-article is that at the organizational level there are distinct processes that are the cause for boundedly rational decisions.

The decision of the municipality can be the outcome of a process of rational decision-making because of a specific set of beliefs that are based in an optimal gathering of information. In this case, the municipality might have assessed all parties that have expressed interest in building a wind turbine. These might have been found to come from outside the local community. Based on a thorough assessment of previous experiences, the municipality has a preference for local investors, because they are accepted by the community, and in return there is little contestation of the building of wind turbines. Thus, rather than allowing new parties to build, the municipality has decided to allow existing owners of wind turbine to place additional or substituting existing turbines.

The RA is often the easiest to apply, because (as we discussed in class) organizations tend to rationalize their decisions as part of the process of defending them. The reasons they then provide (in the media) very often come close to an application of the RA model.

The decision of the municipality could also be a result from processes related to BR. One of such processes is the operation of routines. In trying to get more wind turbines within the municipality, the responsible department has talked about additional wind turbines with the ‘usual suspects’, the existing owners with whom they regularly discuss (= routine) the development of wind energy. When the deadline for new permits (= routine) passed, it turned out that only the existing owners applied; this may be a result that other parties simply didn’t know about the opportunity!

This example makes clear that with some additional information or informed speculation, you can develop one or more of the processes of BR into an explanation of your decision. Please note that you do not have to have all processes listed by Jones in your storyline: only one of them is enough to cause bounded rationality. In a full analysis though, you have to take the list and at least mention which ones are likely to occur, and which ones will not. 



Hopefully this example helps you in improving your entry if you wish to do so. 

woensdag 15 oktober 2014

feedback on the puzzle assignment

It’s about time that I start writing my own blog entries. As I have stated, this is all about timely feedback, and I understand that you are looking for my feedback as a teacher. I really like this assignment, as well as the book from which it originates± Constructing Social Theories by Arthur Stinchcombe (1968). This book presents, in very clear language, a view on the practice of social science research, which includes the building of theories. The exercise thus demystifies theory formation, and that is an important aim for me.
In addition, I see the exercise as a way to developing rigor in your thinking. And this is where I want to give you some practical tips.
In order to facilitate the discussion, let me translate the assignment into some more formal language. A good puzzle can be summarized as a surprising correlation between two variables (A, B). This correlation is something that is there, i.e. it is an empirical reality that has been found by people collecting data.
In explanations, we develop a plausible storyline which connects A and B, and this implies that one is the cause (or independent variable) and the other the consequence (or dependent variable). 'Independent' here means that we do not consider the causes of this variable. Without getting too philosophical about it, the causal link always remains a storyline: it can never be proven empirically. What we can do is to collect data in such a way that it provides strong evidence that the relationship is there (or: that we fail to find evidence that proves that the relationship is not there, which is considered to be a better test).
Using the language of dependent and independent variable allows me to summarize some of the things that can go wrong in your assignment (and this means that if you formalize your own puzzle along these lines, you can detect flaws yourself more easily!):

1. Your puzzle does not address two, but only one variable (such as: why is the CO2 emission level not rising in the EU). This means that you identify a dependent variable (B),  and your explanations then propose alternative independent variables  (A1, A2, A3). The assignment is to come up with three alternative ways in which the same A and B are connected. This is a common flaw, so don’t worry about it too much. You are certainly in the right direction, and when you have done this, half the work has already been done.
2. Your puzzle has an A and a B, but your explanations do not deal with the relationship between the two. A common mistake is to develop alternative explanations for the independent variable A, or to develop alternative independent variables (A’s). Again, this is simply a matter of forcing yourself to focus on the A and B you have chosen, and specifying the relationship between them.

Some of you come up with interesting puzzling situations (in class we discussed the one where ozone layer destruction and climate change have different time frames when it comes to developing solutions). But these are then not developed in a rigorous way to become a puzzle with the structure A à B. If you do not force yourself to fit in that structure, it becomes more difficult to be systematic, and develop good explanations about that exact relationship. So please use this feedback to develop your puzzle towards that goal! In the classroom we saw that it was not that difficult to translate the situation into a more formal structure.

Once you have clearly identified the variables, and thought up an explanation, it is important that you describe this explanation as concisely and precisely as possible. This means you provide a storyline of how variation in the independent variable leads to systematic variation in the dependent variable. When I ask you to develop storylines, it does not mean that I want you to present the three alternative explanations in a flowing piece of writing. So number the explanations (making clear where one stops and another one begins), and write them down concisely. This is important for the reader, but notice that following these tips also forces you to fix parts of the storyline that maybe you thought where there, but turn out to be missing when you need to write them down in this way.
Finally, a remark that is not so much about what should have been there, but what is the next step in developing explanations for a puzzle. This is to develop your puzzles and explanations in such a way that they can be tested in a research project. A first question here would be how you can observe your variables, which is sometimes easy, but in other cases might present difficulties. Second question is about the cases you will select for observation.

dinsdag 30 september 2014

Final list of blogs

Here is the final list of blogs, to be used for finding out what blogs you should give feedback on. Enjoy the fruits of your fellow's labor!!!


#
NAME
BLOG ADDRESS
1
Chloë Lejeune
2
Laura Lucas
3
Zinzi Wits
4
Dhr W.Y.S. Leung (w.y.s.leung)
swayleung.wordpress.com
5
Ella Baz
6
Carl Kuehl
7
Joan Wildenberg
8
Raissa Ulbrich
9
Suzanne Dietz
10
Cenyang Tang 
11
zhongveer
12
Koen Kuipers
koenjjkuipers.wordpress.com
13
Özkan Larçin
14
Elke
15
Kjell Wansleeben
kwansleeben.wordpress.com
16
Dhr T.S.J. Kiem (t.s.j.kiem)
17
Stephany Lie
18
Anne van Bruggen
19
Bob Dubbeldam
http:\\bobindustrial.wordpress.com
20
hans peter honkoop
21
Marie-Louise de Kruiff
22
Kimberley Tjon-Ka-Jie
23
Zejun Ding
24
michael o'connor
25
Sayra
26
Nicole van den Berg
27
Francesca Klack
28
Diana Carolina Palacios
29
Daniël van Staveren
30
Dhr B.W. Schipper (b.w.schipper)
31
Michelle Steenmeijer
32
Josefine Rook
33
Sander van Nielen
34
ilonka marselis
ilonkamarselis.blogspot.com
35
Tim de Vrijer
36
Paulina Criollo
37
Rebecca Joubert
38
Hsiu-Chuan Lin
39
Romée de Blois
40
Vigil Yu
41
Jorinde Vernooij
42
Rens van de Peppel
43
Milan Veselinov
44
Franco Donati
45
zev starmans
46
Paulina Gual
47
Wybren Brouwer
48
alice van rixel
49
Luuk Gremmen
50
51
Florentine Brunner
52
Spyros Ntemiris
53
William Van den broeck
54
Sandra van der Lee
55
Sinan Baran
56
Maja Bosch
57
Jody Milder
58
Laurens B
59
Marco Meloni
60
Jeroen Huisman
61
Imme Groet
62
Thodoris Spathas